Power conference tournaments are just starting and that means several bubble teams will be in action.
I see seven spots up for grabs at the moment. In my projected bracket, all of the 11 seeds plus tenth seeded Michigan St need to take care of business this week to feel completely safe.
The way I see it, Michigan St, Providence, Vanderbilt and Syracuse are most likely in if they win one game this week. Xavier and USC are in tougher spots and could need two wins to be relatively safe. Kansas St holds the last spot for now, but probably loses their slot if they lose their opening game against Baylor. Since that is a lot to ask of any team, it is likely that the final at-large bid will be rewarded to an under-the-radar bubble team that makes a deep run in its conference tournament.
Here is the projected seed list.
1 Villanova, Kansas, UNC, Kentucky
2 Gonzaga, Baylor, Louisville, Oregon
3 Florida, UCLA, Arizona, Butler
4 Florida St, West Virginia, Duke, Virginia
5 Purdue, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, SMU
6 St. Mary’s, Minnesota, Iowa St, Maryland
7 Creighton, South Carolina, Wisconsin, Wichita St
8 Dayton, Oklahoma St, Arkansas, Miami
9 Michigan, Marquette, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech
10 VCU, Northwestern, Seton Hall, Michigan St
11 Providence, Vanderbilt, Syracuse/USC, Xavier/Kansas St
12 Middle Tennessee, Nevada, UNC Wilmington, UT Arlington
13 Princeton, Vermont, ETSU, Bucknell
14 Winthrop, FGCU, Akron, Cal St Bakersfield
15 Iona, Northern Kentucky, North Dakota, Texas Southern
16 NC Central, UC Irvine, Jacksonville St/New Orleans, South Dakota St/Mount Saint Mary’s
First four out: Illinois, Rhode Island, Iowa, Illinois St