This is where things currently stand.
I have not discussed the top line lately. Anyone following basketball closely sees the top three being Villanova, UNC and Kansas in that order. However, the last number one is up for grabs.
For this slot, I keep going back and forth between Gonzaga and Kentucky. I think Gonzaga is the team that deserves it, but Kentucky makes a compelling case if they win the SEC Tournament. They have a stellar 16-5 record against the RPI Top 100, and a non-confernece win over UNC. If Oregon wins the Pac-12, they could be discussed but their case is not as strong as Kentucky’s or Gonzaga’s. The Ducks have just two wins against tournament locks, which is less than even Gonzaga can claim.
Meanwhile, bubble teams like Syracuse could have their fates determined by the Atlantic 10 tournament. This is because with Dayton’s elimination, three out of four teams remaining are potential bid thieves. Should a team other than VCU win the automatic bid, a team I currently have in will end up missing the tournament.
Here is the full seed list.
1 Villanova, UNC, Kansas, Gonzaga
2 Kentucky, Oregon, Arizona, Duke
3 Baylor, Louisville, Florida, UCLA
4 West Virginia, Florida St, Butler, Virginia
5 Cincinnati, Purdue, Notre Dame, SMU
6 St. Mary’s, Minnesota, Creighton, Iowa St
7 Maryland, Wisconsin, Wichita St, Arkansas
8 Michigan, Dayton, South Carolina, Miami
9 Virginia Tech, Seton Hall, Marquette, Northwestern
10 VCU, Oklahoma St, Vanderbilt, Xavier
11 Wake Forest, Michigan St, Providence/USC, Kansas St/Syracuse
12 Middle Tennessee, Nevada, UNC Wilmington, UT Arlington
13 Princeton, Vermont, ETSU, Bucknell
14 Winthrop, FGCU, Akron, Cal St Bakersfield
15 Iona, Northern Kentucky, North Dakota, Texas Southern
16 NC Central, UC Irvine, Jacksonville St/New Orleans, South Dakota St/Mount Saint Mary’s